2.1.4. Kwara

Kwara state is comprised of the following 16 LGAs: Asa, Baruten, Edu, Ekiti, lfelodun, llorin East, llorin West, llorin South, Irepodun, Kaiama, Moro, Offa, Oyun, Isin, Oke-Ero and Patigi. The capital city is Ilorin.418

The main ethnic groups residing in Kwara State are the Yoruba, Nupe, Bariba and Fulani.419

UNFPA and the US Census Bureau projected the population at 3 551 023 in 2022, based on figures from the 2006 census.420

a) Conflict dynamics and main actors

For a general overview on actors in Nigeria, please see section 1.1 Main Actors.

In June 2025, Premium Times mentioned that across seven LGAs in the southern part of Kwara state, individuals described as ‘foreign elements’ were reportedly ambushing road users and carrying out kidnappings for ransom, while armed herders were allegedly driving cattle onto farmland and attacking farmers who try to resist.421 A March 2024 study noted that ‘poor communication, crop destruction, and cattle theft are the primary causes of conflict between the crop farmers and cattle herders in Kwara State.’422 A December 2024 article mentioned ‘incessant conflicts between herders and farmers’ in Kaiama LGA.423

In April 2025, the emergence of a new ‘terrorist group’ named Mahmuda was reported.424 The group is believed to be a breakaway faction of Boko Haram and is also referred to as the Mallam Group after its leader.425 It was mostly active in Kainji Lake National Park.426 The group financed its operations through a combination of kidnapping for ransom, forced labour, and illegal taxation of herders and farmers.427 According to Sahara Reporters, the group was ‘collecting Zakat (Islamic tax), allocating lands, and enforcing their laws on communities’.428 Mahmuda carried out several attacks, including in April and June 2025.429 In August 2025, the group’s leader, Mallam Mamuda, who was also the deputy commander of Ansaru, was reportedly arrested.430

Kwara state was affected by kidnappings, for example in August,431 September 2024,432 April,433 May,434 June,435 and July 2025.436 In response to ‘unabated kidnappings’ in Edu LGA, angry youths attacked and set fire to the palace of the local Emir and the local office of the National Drug Law Enforcement Agency (NDLEA) in June 2025.437

Killings by gunmen were reported for example in October 2024,438 and in March,439 April,440 and June 2025.441

Deadly violence targeted members of the Miyetti Allah Cattle Breeders Association of Nigeria (MACBAN),442 an organisation supporting Fulani issues.443

According to a July 2025 report by SBM Intelligence, Kwara recorded 58 youth gang-related deaths between January 2020 and March 2025.444 The report described the state as ‘notable hotspot’ within the North-Central zone, with violence involving the Black Axe (Aiye) group.445 In June 2024, Daily Trust newspaper reported ‘rising cases of cult wars and clashes between rival cult groups in Kwara State’.446

b) Security incidents and impact on the population

In the period between 1 January 2024 and 31 August 2025, ACLED recorded 133 security incidents in Kwara state, which resulted in 144 fatalities. Of these security incidents, 33 were coded as battles, 12 as riots and 88 as incidents of violence against civilians.447

Imported image pandoc_image_6.png

Figure 8: Evolution of security events coded as battles, explosions/remote violence, riots, and violence against civilians in Kwara state, 1 January 2024 – 31 August 2025, based on ACLED data.448

Security incidents were recorded by ACLED in 14 LGAs of the state, with the highest numbers documented in Ifelodun (28 incidents), Ilorin West (20 incidents), Edu (17 incidents), Pategi (17 incidents) and Baruten LGAs (9 incidents). No incidents were recorded in two LGAs. According to ACLED, unidentified armed groups and Kwara communal militias (coded as either ‘Actor1’ or ‘Actor2’) were involved in the majority of incidents coded as violence against civilians.449

In June 2025, Mahmuda members reportedly killed three persons in an attack on Duruma village in Baruten LGA.450 In April 2025, youths set fire to huts in a village in Kaiama LGA, accusing ‘the inhabitants of the Fulani settlement of colluding with bandits in the kidnapping and killing of locals.’451 Also in April 2025, gunmen killed seven persons in Baruten and Kaiama LGAs.452 In August 2024, 20 travellers were kidnapped in Ekiti LGA and later rescued by police and local vigilante.453

Conflict-related infrastructure damage - Two schools in Ilorin West LGA were temporarily shut in May 2025 due to student clashes, which had also resulted in property damage.454 In July 2025, a media article mentioned that Kwara and the FCT had ‘recorded the highest number of attacks on telecom infrastructure’ in an ‘increasing wave of vandalisation and theft of telecommunications infrastructure across the country.’455

Road security - Kidnappings were reported along various roads in Kwara state in the reference period.456

Displacement, movement and return - No information could be found on conflict-induced displacement or returns in Kwara state during the reference period.

c) State response in maintaining law and order

In July 2025, the Kwara State Government announced a new military campaign ‘to address growing security concerns in isolated settlements, particularly in Ifelodun, Edu, and Patigi Local Government Areas.’ The campaign would be supported by ‘newly trained forest guards.’457 However, in June 2025, members of the armed group Mahmuda had allegedly taken advantage of security gaps caused by the temporary absence of local hunters, who were ‘undergoing training for the newly approved National Forests Guard’. The attack happened ‘despite the presence of soldiers deployed in flashpoint areas in recent months’.458 Already in May 2025, the Nigerian army had launched ‘Operation Park Strike Four’ to fight ‘bandits and other criminal elements hiding within the Kainji Lake National Park and surrounding border areas between Kwara and Niger States’459 and arrested 12 ‘suspected terrorists’.460 In December 2024, the state government earmarked 1 000 hectares of land in Kaiama LGA for pastoral development, to ‘reduce the conflict between herders and farmers’.461 In November 2024, the Kwara State Command of the Nigeria Security and Civil Defence Corps (NSCDC) said that its Agro Rangers had resolved 196 farmer-herder conflicts in the past year and its personnel were trained in Alternative Dispute Resolution to mediate disputes across all 16 LGAs.462

  • 418

    Nigeria, Federal Government of Nigeria, States, Kwara, n.d., url

  • 419

    Nigeria, Federal Government of Nigeria, States, Kwara, n.d., url

  • 420

    UNFPA and US Census Bureau, Nigeria – Subnational Population Statistics, 2022, modified 11 September 2024, url

  • 421

    Premium Times, SPECIAL REPORT: Farmers feeling the brunt as kidnappers lay siege to Kwara communities, 29 June 2025, url

  • 422

    Azeez, B.S. et al., Empirical Evaluation of Farmer-Herders’ Conflict in Asa Local Government Area of Kwara State, Nigeria, March 2024, url, p 1

  • 423

    Vanguard, Kwara Govt earmarks 1,000 hectares for pastoral devt, to halt incessant farmers/herders clash, 6 December 2024, url

  • 424

    TNV, New Terror Group Unleashes Fresh Attack On Kwara Community, 20 April 2025, url

  • 425

    ADF, Terror Group Mahmuda Emerges in North-Central Nigeria, Wreaks Havoc, 10 June 2025, url

  • 426

    Sahara Reporters, EXCLUSIVE: New Terrorist Group, Mahmuda Plotting To Establish Independent Government In Kwara, Collect Zakat, Allocate Lands — Emir, 30 June 2025, url

  • 427

    ADF, Terror Group Mahmuda Emerges in North-Central Nigeria, Wreaks Havoc, 10 June 2025, url

  • 428

    Sahara Reporters, EXCLUSIVE: New Terrorist Group, Mahmuda Plotting To Establish Independent Government In Kwara, Collect Zakat, Allocate Lands — Emir, 30 June 2025, url

  • 429

    Punch, Mahmuda terror group kills three Kwara villagers in renewed attacks, 4 June 2025, url; TNV, New Terror Group Unleashes Fresh Attack On Kwara Community, 20 April 2025, url

  • 430

    NCTC, National Counter Terrorism Centre, Nigeria captures top leaders of Ansaru terrorist group – NCTC, 18 August 2025, url; Zagazola, Nigeria dismantles terror groups, Ansaru and Mahmuda, with the capture of their leaders, 16 August 2025, url

  • 431

    Vanguard, Police, vigilante rescue 20 kidnap victims in Kwara, 17 August 2024, url

  • 432

    Channels TV, Kwara Vigilante Commander Killed During Rescue Of Kidnapped Victims, 2 October 2024, url

  • 433

    Punch, Gunmen abduct two LG workers, three others in Kwara, 27 April 2025, url; Punch, Gunmen kidnap seven passengers in Kwara, 20 April 2025, url

  • 434

    Punch, Abductors demand N200m ransom for Kwara petrol dealer, manager’s release, 12 May 2025, url

  • 435

    Punch, Kidnappers kill two policemen, abduct Chinese, Nigerian in Kwara, 5 June 2025, url

  • 436

    Daily Post, Bandits strike in Kwara community, three kidnapped, 8 July 2025, url; Daily Trust, Residents flee as kidnappers lay siege on Kwara communities, 8 July 2025, url

  • 437

    Vanguard, Kidnapping: Angry youths set ablaze Emir’s palace, NDLEA office in Kwara, 30 June 2025, url

  • 438

    Punch, One killed, another injured in Kwara community invasion, 14 October 2024, url

  • 439

    Punch, Police begin probe as gunmen kill another Miyetti Allah leader, 10 March 2025, url

  • 440

    Daily Post, Gunmen kill 4, injure 2 at Kwara motor park, 22 April 2025, url

  • 441

    Punch, Kwara PDP ward chair, two others killed in gunmen attack, 26 June 2025, url

  • 442

    Daily Post, Four Fulani leaders killed so far in Kwara – MACBAN laments, 12 March 2025, url

  • 443

    Courtright, J., Fulani Responses to Pastoralist Crisis and Mass Violence, SWP, February 2025, url, p. 6

  • 444

    SBM Intelligence, Gangster’s Paradise: Nigeria’s Restive Youth Gang Crisis, 2020-2025, July 2025, url, p. 10

  • 445

    SBM Intelligence, Gangster’s Paradise: Nigeria’s Restive Youth Gang Crisis, 2020-2025, July 2025, url, p. 16

  • 446

    Daily Trust, Cultists having a field day in Kwara, 22 June 2024, url

  • 447

    EUAA analysis based on publicly available ACLED data. ACLED, Curated Data Files, Africa, data covering 1 January 2024 to 31 August 2025, as of 10 September 2025, url

  • 448

    EUAA analysis based on publicly available ACLED data. ACLED, Curated Data Files, Africa, data covering 1 January 2024 to 31 August 2025, as of 10 September 2025, url

  • 449

    EUAA analysis based on publicly available ACLED data. ACLED, Curated Data Files, Africa, data covering 1 January 2024 to 31 August 2025, as of 10 September 2025, url

  • 450

    Daily Post, Mahmuda terrorists resume attack, kill three in Kwara community, 3 June 2025, url

  • 451

    Daily Post, Youths attack Fulani settlement in Kwara, accuse residents of aiding kidnappers, 18 April 2025, url

  • 452

    Punch, Gunmen kill seven in Kwara attacks, 22 April 2025, url

  • 453

    Vanguard, Police, vigilante rescue 20 kidnap victims in Kwara, 17 August 2024, url

  • 454

    Vanguard, Kwara reopens schools amid unrest resolution, 17 May 2025, url

  • 455

    Guardian (The) Nigeria, Telcos alert FG to possible collapse of sector due to rise in vandalism, 17 July 2025, url

  • 456

    Daily Trust, Residents flee as kidnappers lay siege on Kwara communities, 8 July 2025, url; Vanguard, Aftermath of banditry, kidnappings in Kwara: Government moves to confront growing threat, 16 May 2025, url; Vanguard, Police, vigilante rescue 20 kidnap victims in Kwara, 17 August 2024, url

  • 457

    Punch, Kwara strengthens security with new military campaign, forest guards, 6 July 2025, url

  • 458

    Punch, Mahmuda terror group kills three Kwara villagers in renewed attacks, 4 June 2025, url

  • 459

    PR Nigeria, Army Launches Operation to Flush Out Bandits from Kwara-Niger Axis, 11 May 2025, url

  • 460

    Daily Post, Nigerian Army arrests 12 suspected terrorists in Kwara, 12 May 2025, url

  • 461

    Vanguard, Kwara Govt earmarks 1,000 hectares for pastoral devt, to halt incessant farmers/herders clash, 6 December 2024, url

  • 462

    Punch, Kwara NSCDC restates commitment to protecting farmers, 8 November 2024, url