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  • Latest Asylum Trends: Annual Analysis
  • 1 Introduction
  • 2 Summary
    • PART I — Major Nationality-Driven Shifts in 2025
    • Syrians: Regime Change and Deferred Mobility
    • Afghans: Legal Harmonisation and Repeated Applications
    • Venezuelans: Visa-Free Mobility and Divergent Political Responses
    • PART II — Policy developments
    • Policy reforms reinforce a more restrictive asylum environment across the EU
    • Labour Market Pragmatism Amid Political Sensitivities
    • Cooperation with Countries of Departure and Transit
    • Humanitarian Funding Contraction as a Forward Risk
    • PART III — 2026 Outlook: Reform Amid Volatility
    • Geopolitical Uncertainty and Latent Displacement Risks
    • The Pact on Migration and Asylum Enters into Force
    • Interpreting the 2024–2025 Decline in Applications
  • 3 Applications
    • Applications
    • Five Main Citizenships
    • Citizenships Trends per Member State
    • Destination Countries
    • Asylum Applications per capita
  • 4 Recognition Rates
    • Main citizenships
    • Across the EU+
    • ≤20% Recognition Rates
  • 5 Pending Cases
    • First instance
    • All instances
  • 6 Migrants from Ukraine
    • Survey with Asylum-related Migrants (SAM)
    • Temporary Protection per capita
  • 7 Annexes
    • Key first instance indicators by EU+ country
    • Key first instance indicators for main citizenships
    • Definitions
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EUAALatest Asylum Trends 2025: Annual Analysis

The Latest Asylum Trends is produced by EUAA’s Situational Awareness Unit (SAU) based on monthly data exchanged under the Early warning and Preparedness System (EPS). The data shared with the EUAA by EU+ countries are provisional and unvalidated and, therefore, may differ from validated data submitted to Eurostat at a later stage under Regulation (EU) 2020/851. Trends analysed here focus on the top 20 citizenships applying for asylum in the focal year.​

 

  • 1
    Introduction

    This section introduces the Latest Asylum Trends and presents the key data points stemming from the situation on asylum in the EU+ in 2025.

  • 2
    Summary

    This section provides a summary of the underlying drivers of asylum applications in 2025 including nationality shifts, policy developments as well as an outlook for the coming year.

  • 3
    Applications

    Trend analysis of the top 20 citizenships applying for asylum in the EU+, as well as where they were lodging their applications. This section also contains an analysis of applications per capita in each receiving country.

  • 4
    Recognition rates

    This section contains information on the recognition rates of the main citizenships, alongside an analysis of how recognition rates vary between receiving countries. It also illustrates which citizenships fell below the 20% threshold.

  • 5
    Pending cases

    Detailed analysis of the number of pending cases that are with EU+ asylum authorities awaiting decisions. This section also uses Eurostat data to estimate the total number of cases awaiting decisions, including those in appeal or review.

  • 6
    Migrants from Ukraine

    This section contains results from an EUAA online survey project that collects testimonies directly from persons displaced from Ukraine. It also illustrates how many persons are benefiting from temporary protection in receiving countries.

  • 7
    Data tables

    Annexes containing the main indicators for each EU+ reporting country and also the top 20 citizenships.