1.3.1 Security incidents

According to ACLED data, 5 084 security incidents (battles, explosions/remote violence, violence against civilians) were recorded between 1 August 2024 and 1 August 2025: 794 were coded as battles, 4 009 as explosions/remote violence, and 281 as violence against civilians.113

Imported image pandoc_image_4.png

Figure 1: Evolution of security events coded ‘battles’, ‘explosions/remote violence’ and ‘violence against civilians’ in Iraq between 1 August 2024 and 1 August 2025, based on ACLED data.114

The highest number of security incidents was recorded in Dohuk (2 917), followed by Erbil (1 050) and Ninewa (265) governorates. The lowest security incidents figures were recorded in Najaf (13), Karbala (7) and Wassit (6) governorates.115

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Figure 2: Security events coded ‘battles’, ‘explosions/remote violence’ and ‘violence against civilians’ in Iraq between 1 August 2024 and 1 August 2025 on governorate level, based on ACLED data.116

Explosions/remote violence, which includes explosive devices, artillery fire and air strikes, is the category with the highest number of individual incidents by far with 4 009 incidents recorded by ACLED between 1 August 2024 and 1 August 2025. The largest number of explosions/remote violence was registered in Dohuk (2 507), followed by Erbil (981) and Ninewa (246) governorates. Karbala, Najaf and Wassit were the governorates with the lowest rate of explosions/remote violence with no incidents recorded.117

Battles (armed clashes) is the category with the second most registered security incidents. During the reference period, there were 794 battles recorded by ACLED. Most battles were recorded in the governorates of Dohuk (404), Missan (65), and Erbil (57). The lowest number of battles were recorded in Najaf and Ninewa (9 each), Karbala (4), and Wassit (2).118

As for the category violence against civilians, ACLED recorded the highest number of incidents in Baghdad (74), Missan (50) and Thi-Qar (28) governorates. The lowest number of incidents were recorded in Najaf, Sulaymaniyah and Wassit (4 each) as well as Karbala and Babil governorates (3 each).119

Between 1 August 2024 and 15 May 2025, the blog Musings on Iraq120 documented 214 security incidents between 1 August 2024 and 21 July 2025, with 177 of the incidents attributed to pro-Iranian groups, happening almost exclusively between August and November 2024 and experiencing a new spike in July 2025, which was attributed to the attacks on oil fields in the Kurdistan Region.121 For the latter, no group has formally claimed responsibility, despite security experts likely attributing them to Iranian-backed militias122 (see section  1.2 Overview of recent security developments). The blog further logged 36 attacks attributed to ISIL, declining steadily since the second half of 2022.123

For the reference period, the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) recorded a total of 234 security events, including 222 incidents of state-based violence, 5 incidents of non-state violence and 7 incidents of one-sided violence.124

Type of weapons and tactics used

According to the reports by the UN Secretary-General, the majority of civilian casualties between 1 May and 21 October 2024 were caused by explosive remnants of war (ERWs) and improvised explosive devices (IEDs), followed by aerial attacks, small arms fire, and indirect fire125 and, in the period from 1 December 2024 to 31 March 2025 by ERWs, with further incidents resulting from aerial strikes, indirect fire, and small arms fire.126

  • 113

    EUAA analysis based on publicly available ACLED data. ACLED, Curated Data Files, Middle East, as of 1 August 2025, url. No incidents coded as battles, explosions/remote violence or violence against civilians were recorded on 1 August 2025.

  • 114

    EUAA analysis based on publicly available ACLED data. ACLED, Curated Data Files, Middle East, as of 1 August 2025, url. No incidents coded as battles, explosions/remote violence or violence against civilians were recorded on 1 August 2025.

  • 115

    EUAA analysis based on publicly available ACLED data. ACLED, Curated Data Files, Middle East, as of 1 August 2025, url

  • 116

    EUAA analysis based on publicly available ACLED data. ACLED, Curated Data Files, Middle East, as of 1 August 2025, url

  • 117

    EUAA analysis based on publicly available ACLED data. ACLED, Curated Data Files, Middle East, as of 1 August 2025, url

  • 118

    EUAA analysis based on publicly available ACLED data. ACLED, Curated Data Files, Middle East, as of 1 August 2025, url

  • 119

    EUAA analysis based on publicly available ACLED data. ACLED, Curated Data Files, Middle East, as of 1 August 2025, url

  • 120

    Musings on Iraq is a blog by Joel Wing, that specialises on the ‘politics, economics, security, culture and history of Iraq’. Musings on Iraq, n.d., url

  • 121

    Musings on Iraq, Security In Iraq Jul 15-21, 2025, 22 July 2025, url

  • 122

    New Arab (The), Drone attacks continue on Kurdistan oil fields as investigations underway, 17 July 2025, url ; Arab Weekly (The), Militias defy Baghdad’s warnings as drone attacks on Kurdistan’s oil facilities persist, 29 July 2025, url; Malik, H. et al., Militias Strain Credibility by Denying Involvement in Kurdistan Drone Attacks, 25 July 2025, TWI, url

  • 123

    Musings on Iraq, 2nd Month In A Row With No Islamic State Attacks In Iraq, 2 June 2025, url

  • 124

    EUAA analysis based on UCDP data. UCDP, data covering from 1 August 2024 to 1 August 2025

  • 125

    UNSG, Implementation of resolution 2732 (2024), S/2024/857, 26 November 2024, url, para.58

  • 126

    UNSG, Implementation of resolution 2732 (2024), S/2025/323, 30 May 2025, url, para.54